A quite damning indictment of NHS policy. Note that the UK were the first to "approve" their vaccine and the NHS staff were desperate to get their hands on it, so the first Dec 2020-Jan2021 sickness wave was almost certain to be related to this. It was only a small proportion of dissenters that held out until the vaccine mandate deadline (which was then dropped). The sickness level has never returned to baseline.
great tl;dr ! sums it up perfectly. I concur with the methods and conclusions. They always ask "how many lives did we save?" but they never look at "how many people did we kill?"
I am beginning to think that the planners of the plandemic assumed the entire human race would just accept what they told us and everyone would just get their shot. And why shouldn't they think that, prior to Covud we just rolled up out sleeve an said "Hit me". But that's not how it went. People became very skeptical and non-trusting. To make a long story short they underestimated us. AND they opened Pandora's box.
They have never had to defend their poison before with real mathematics. They just buffaloed and that was good enough to get pay dirt. So that now they don't know how to defend their assertions.
Please keep the hammer down. Because I see them running out of the two things that kept them afloat...Bullshit excuses and money to buy silence and excuses purported to be science.
TikTok doctors and nurses dancing in clearly empty hospitals with big signs at the door saying "If you feel ill go home!" and arresting people who dared film inside clearly empty NHS wards saved many lives as it was then clear to millions that it was a scam. Those TikTok videos will eventually resurface at their trials, ......... and trials there shall be.
I like your enthusiasm but I don't think anyone will ever be held to account, or at least anyone who was responsible. There might be a Pasty or two but that's it.
Unfortunately one was not classified as being "vaccinated" in the NHS in the UK until 2 weeks after each covid shot. This practice is completely dishonest because EVERY SINGLE EMPLOYEE in the NHS office where I worked felt like crap for the first 24 hours to 72 hours. At least one out of 5 was sick enough to take at least 1 sick day off after each covid shot.
So many sick days are being uncounted from the first 2 weeks of each covid shot for each covid "shot".
Because I refused a 2nd covid shot and booster, I got added to a short list of those who would be fired. Once I provided a list of having taken only one covid shot in early 2022, that was grounds for being dismissed.
I also filed a Yellowcard in April 2021 from all the adverse health effects from the first and only covid "shot" received 6 weeks earlier. Unfortunately most of the adverse health effects were left off my report taken over the phone which I only discovered months later and had to request an updated Yellowcard report.
So no doubt many UK Yellowcard reports filed are inaccurate because so many adverse health effects were not included.
Working for the NHS was a terrible experience during the "working from home" months because a nearby coworker enjoyed bullying myself and other women and was the covid enforcer; this coworker was constantly bringing up the importance of social distancing, getting all the covid shots and gaslighted my comments when I reported i had been injured from one covid shot--BTW my left upper arm still is itchy and achy 5 years where i received the covid shot. I knew within seconds of the covid shot, AstraZeneca batch AB0010 that I had made a terrible mistake and felt weakened, like I had been gravely injured, and needed to lie down.
In the office, if someone sneezed they would receive dirty looks, a sneeze became a crisis, everyone was so scared of coming down from covid.
What a dreadful environment. No safety concerns re the covid shots were allowed to be discussed in the office.
I lost my OUTDOOR job over the masking. Since I had lots of time on my hands, I warned people about the COVID shot, promote ivermectin, and truth about masking. There was a lot of censorship going on but occasionally I was able to change minds.
We got to see fear and guilt weaponized by governments around the world.
It is documented the COVID shot caused OVER 31 million excess deaths.
You are not alone. I will never forget what they did to you and others.
Steve, I don’t know how you have time to do all this incredible work but you have to realize that explaining this to the NHS is like explaining Kant to a rabbit. I wish you luck.
It is very difficult to get someone to understand something when their continued income stream requires them not to understand that something. The BMA etc was banning doctors who spoke out from practising and those criminals are still in place at the BMA.
Something has definitely changed because people I know personally who work for the NHS at the highest levels and ALWAYS took every jab going now refuse every one. Unfortunately they still seem quite happy to foist the jabs they themselves refuse onto trusting members of the public.
The utter criminal incompetence, some would more correctly say malevolence, of the NHS has created vast numbers of "anti-vaxxers" within its own ranks and those genies aren't going back into those bottles ......... ever.
Now if only there was a way to stop these hypocrites pushing crap into other people' veins that they would never allow into theirs and that includes the 80% plus of Oncologists who openly state in poll after poll that they would never take chemotherapy themselves because the gains are simply not worth the losses and yet they feel quite free to make a very good living pushing that shit into other people.
Do You Want to Know What Google AI is saying about YOU??
If so, I will share.
My brother is so blue pilled, I think he'll die of hyperthermia. He will never concede. You know how that goes.
So, I told him that the studies claiming the COVID shot saved millions and millions of lives were based on useless modeling. Then he sent me the Google AI account of how brilliant and statistically sound and sophisticated these studies are. So, I SENT HIM one of your Substacks on KCOR. So, he sent ME what Google AI has to say about you. (it's false, false, false! I know, because I read your Substack. No big surprise, this is replete with misinformation. But if you're curious, here goes: (if not, please disregard the unpleasantry).
According to Kirsch, he is the sole arbiter of whether a flaw is "material" and whether a proposed alternative is "more reliable." This creates several significant hurdles for any potential winner.
In similar past challenges, Kirsch has rejected detailed critiques from experts like biostatistics professor Jeffrey Morris, claiming their rebuttals didn't meet his specific conditions. Experts have often described these challenges as "unwinnable" because Kirsch sets himself as the final authority on what constitutes a valid proof.
To win, a challenger must provide a more reliable approach. Health authorities and peer-reviewed journals consider Cox Proportional Hazards Models (using full population data) to be the gold standard. However, because these standard models typically show that vaccines save lives, they produce the opposite result of what Kirsch expects, leading him to label them "less reliable".
Kirsch has made similar offers for years (ranging from $10,000 to $1 million) regarding different datasets. Despite extensive critiques published by Science Feedback and other fact-checking organizations, no one has been publicly awarded the prize money, as he typically maintains the critiques "missed the point" or "ignored his specific logic".
In summary, while the mathematical flaws in his method are well-documented by the scientific community, the $2,000 is only "bound to be won" if Kirsch agrees with the critique—which he has yet to do in any of his public challenges.
In reality that should translate to the general population which I believe it does! Anecdotally all I’m hearing in day to day life is constant complaints of sickness particularly respiratory with symptoms that seems to linger then repeat a short time later. This is backed by the media’s relentless reporting on pneumonia, influenza, RSV and of course the multiple daily reports of aggressive cancers a staple , with the UK ‘s Mirror the most prolific! Along with equally reported stories of “ Died Suddenly “
You could alter the "NHS sickness reasons chart" as follows:
1) Define a composite of reasons that indicate covid. Or maybe also preserve just one or two covid-specific reasons on their own.
2) Plot the scaled "reason-proportions" curves of just the above, instead of the stacked bars of reason-proportions
3) Overlay the scaled absence count curve.
One would think that the the above-defined reason-proportions would go up in Sept 2019 and correlate with the absence spike in Sept 2019, which would corroborate covid existing well into 2019. But eyeballing it, it looks like the obvious reason-proportions don't in fact track with sickness in late 2019. Perhaps another approach would be to reverse-engineer the choice of composite reasons, by asking "which composite of reasons would have tracked with late 2019 absences". That could potentially define what covid actually is. This was a period where people were not told what they should expect themselves to be sick with, so it might be free of some bias.
Would be nice to see if either of the above-defined reason-proportion composites tracks with cumulative vaccination rates at any lag, positively or negatively, if at all. Hits at different lags might suggest vaccine side effects, vaccine efficacy, or both.
Does covid positivity track at one or more lags with vaccination? Vaccine efficacy, inefficacy, negative efficacy, and side effects which cause test-seeking behavior could all be considered here.
[Edit: This actually doesn't have anything to do with the NHS staff data, so off topic I guess. And I think I recall exactly where John Dee did this and found large negative efficacy signals].
Could you crunch the same scenario models for death (with a lag) instead of sickness? The above "reason-proportion" suggestions I suppose might apply to death as well, if there happened to be a spike in late 2019.
Also note that a positive test can reflect false positives, incidental positives, or bystander/weak-contributor positives. Test positivity may to a point be a proxy for general influenza-like illness (ILI) that prompted testing. Thus, COVID PCR positivity can ‘bake in’ some background ILI, resulting in inflated explanatory power (if one treats a positive test as being equivalent to a primary covid case). This makes your argument of covid not geing a great explanation stronger.
We can't un.prove a non disputable fact. That is...corporations (esp.big Pharma) are adverse to telling the truth if it serves their purpose, to make money, obfuscate or even kill people. From real data, not only were these jabs not efficacious ("safe and effective" horse manure ) they actually were immensely harmful. But you have to ask HONEST people, not hacks about this. They wouldn't have gotten away with as much damage had the population been INFORMED. They choose not to be, so they are now suffering the consequences. How do you protect stupid people from themselves? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i-zg3lEIYiU. I have been trying to estimate the percent of stupid people/ aka took the jab. BTW no job would be worth my life in exchange.
Intelligence and instinct aren't correlated sadly, many very smart friends I had took the jab. It takes great bravery to inject yourself with something unknown you don't want because you have to feed your kids. I don't think we should have any hostile feeling toward those who did - voluntarily or not - and every hostile feeling to the people who were in charge to protect them and miserably failed every of their duties.
The 'stupid people' remark is in context to my post on 'Bonhoeffer's Theory on Stupid People'. 'Stupid people' in this context refers to those that turn over their individual thinking to some group or authority.
The term anti-vaxxers...as if poisoning yourself and your children with toxic vaccines and mRNA poisons is a healthy thing to do. As if there was ANY certified proof that vaccines are safe and effective and do NOT cause massive harm. As if we are expected and it is demanded of us that we accept vaccination "just because" it exists and therefore we must NEVER question anything about it. Go to the devil, all you vaccine lovers. Do not think I will ever succumb to your poisons.
i was saying that many people had time off work because of their Covid shot - they were so poorly they took to bed for two or three days. Some still suffer symptoms like brain fog or struggling to find words that they never experienced before. This must have affected firstly the numbers of people needing NHS care - ie the waiting lists - and the number of people available to treat them. This happens every year with the flu vaccines, possibly to a lesser extend. My observation is that people have side effects but not as bad as the Covid jab side effects, but some people are also killed by their flu vaccine. Their relatives are fobbed off and end up saying they were told 'there is a link' or 'he was too weak for the vaccine' and they can't speak out for fear of being ostracised for being antivaxxers. The vaccine rarely makes it to the death certificate and so the merry-go-round continues of there only being 'a link' because the reality never makes it to the data tables. So these vaccines do contribute to the NHS waiting lists, sickness and ultimately the mortality rates, directly and also indirectly as care is slowed by them. If that was also taken into account with the modelling it would be even clearer what a bad idea they are......
thank you for doing the analysis, Steve.
Do you think you might branch out and look into the Shingles vaccine? For some reason, in the most recent clinical trial, they used the old vaccine as the control and looked at dementia rates. Strange choices on both counts... any way it turns out the new vaccine 'prevents' dementia.......
A quite damning indictment of NHS policy. Note that the UK were the first to "approve" their vaccine and the NHS staff were desperate to get their hands on it, so the first Dec 2020-Jan2021 sickness wave was almost certain to be related to this. It was only a small proportion of dissenters that held out until the vaccine mandate deadline (which was then dropped). The sickness level has never returned to baseline.
great tl;dr ! sums it up perfectly. I concur with the methods and conclusions. They always ask "how many lives did we save?" but they never look at "how many people did we kill?"
A great suggestion of addendum ; thanks again !
yeah, it doesn't suit their agenda which is large and encompassing.
Amazing work.
I wish I had a better grasp of stats.
Me too.
I am beginning to think that the planners of the plandemic assumed the entire human race would just accept what they told us and everyone would just get their shot. And why shouldn't they think that, prior to Covud we just rolled up out sleeve an said "Hit me". But that's not how it went. People became very skeptical and non-trusting. To make a long story short they underestimated us. AND they opened Pandora's box.
They have never had to defend their poison before with real mathematics. They just buffaloed and that was good enough to get pay dirt. So that now they don't know how to defend their assertions.
Please keep the hammer down. Because I see them running out of the two things that kept them afloat...Bullshit excuses and money to buy silence and excuses purported to be science.
TikTok doctors and nurses dancing in clearly empty hospitals with big signs at the door saying "If you feel ill go home!" and arresting people who dared film inside clearly empty NHS wards saved many lives as it was then clear to millions that it was a scam. Those TikTok videos will eventually resurface at their trials, ......... and trials there shall be.
I like your enthusiasm but I don't think anyone will ever be held to account, or at least anyone who was responsible. There might be a Pasty or two but that's it.
If you don't have a dream how you gonna make a dream come true?
Thank you for covering this.
Unfortunately one was not classified as being "vaccinated" in the NHS in the UK until 2 weeks after each covid shot. This practice is completely dishonest because EVERY SINGLE EMPLOYEE in the NHS office where I worked felt like crap for the first 24 hours to 72 hours. At least one out of 5 was sick enough to take at least 1 sick day off after each covid shot.
So many sick days are being uncounted from the first 2 weeks of each covid shot for each covid "shot".
Because I refused a 2nd covid shot and booster, I got added to a short list of those who would be fired. Once I provided a list of having taken only one covid shot in early 2022, that was grounds for being dismissed.
I also filed a Yellowcard in April 2021 from all the adverse health effects from the first and only covid "shot" received 6 weeks earlier. Unfortunately most of the adverse health effects were left off my report taken over the phone which I only discovered months later and had to request an updated Yellowcard report.
So no doubt many UK Yellowcard reports filed are inaccurate because so many adverse health effects were not included.
Working for the NHS was a terrible experience during the "working from home" months because a nearby coworker enjoyed bullying myself and other women and was the covid enforcer; this coworker was constantly bringing up the importance of social distancing, getting all the covid shots and gaslighted my comments when I reported i had been injured from one covid shot--BTW my left upper arm still is itchy and achy 5 years where i received the covid shot. I knew within seconds of the covid shot, AstraZeneca batch AB0010 that I had made a terrible mistake and felt weakened, like I had been gravely injured, and needed to lie down.
In the office, if someone sneezed they would receive dirty looks, a sneeze became a crisis, everyone was so scared of coming down from covid.
What a dreadful environment. No safety concerns re the covid shots were allowed to be discussed in the office.
I lost my OUTDOOR job over the masking. Since I had lots of time on my hands, I warned people about the COVID shot, promote ivermectin, and truth about masking. There was a lot of censorship going on but occasionally I was able to change minds.
We got to see fear and guilt weaponized by governments around the world.
It is documented the COVID shot caused OVER 31 million excess deaths.
You are not alone. I will never forget what they did to you and others.
Steve, I don’t know how you have time to do all this incredible work but you have to realize that explaining this to the NHS is like explaining Kant to a rabbit. I wish you luck.
It is very difficult to get someone to understand something when their continued income stream requires them not to understand that something. The BMA etc was banning doctors who spoke out from practising and those criminals are still in place at the BMA.
Something has definitely changed because people I know personally who work for the NHS at the highest levels and ALWAYS took every jab going now refuse every one. Unfortunately they still seem quite happy to foist the jabs they themselves refuse onto trusting members of the public.
The utter criminal incompetence, some would more correctly say malevolence, of the NHS has created vast numbers of "anti-vaxxers" within its own ranks and those genies aren't going back into those bottles ......... ever.
Now if only there was a way to stop these hypocrites pushing crap into other people' veins that they would never allow into theirs and that includes the 80% plus of Oncologists who openly state in poll after poll that they would never take chemotherapy themselves because the gains are simply not worth the losses and yet they feel quite free to make a very good living pushing that shit into other people.
Thank You. Very nice work.
;-)
Hey Steve,
Do You Want to Know What Google AI is saying about YOU??
If so, I will share.
My brother is so blue pilled, I think he'll die of hyperthermia. He will never concede. You know how that goes.
So, I told him that the studies claiming the COVID shot saved millions and millions of lives were based on useless modeling. Then he sent me the Google AI account of how brilliant and statistically sound and sophisticated these studies are. So, I SENT HIM one of your Substacks on KCOR. So, he sent ME what Google AI has to say about you. (it's false, false, false! I know, because I read your Substack. No big surprise, this is replete with misinformation. But if you're curious, here goes: (if not, please disregard the unpleasantry).
According to Kirsch, he is the sole arbiter of whether a flaw is "material" and whether a proposed alternative is "more reliable." This creates several significant hurdles for any potential winner.
----------------------------------------------------------------
In similar past challenges, Kirsch has rejected detailed critiques from experts like biostatistics professor Jeffrey Morris, claiming their rebuttals didn't meet his specific conditions. Experts have often described these challenges as "unwinnable" because Kirsch sets himself as the final authority on what constitutes a valid proof.
To win, a challenger must provide a more reliable approach. Health authorities and peer-reviewed journals consider Cox Proportional Hazards Models (using full population data) to be the gold standard. However, because these standard models typically show that vaccines save lives, they produce the opposite result of what Kirsch expects, leading him to label them "less reliable".
Kirsch has made similar offers for years (ranging from $10,000 to $1 million) regarding different datasets. Despite extensive critiques published by Science Feedback and other fact-checking organizations, no one has been publicly awarded the prize money, as he typically maintains the critiques "missed the point" or "ignored his specific logic".
In summary, while the mathematical flaws in his method are well-documented by the scientific community, the $2,000 is only "bound to be won" if Kirsch agrees with the critique—which he has yet to do in any of his public challenges.
-----------------------------------------------------
Don't worry, I defended your honor with my brother, for whatever good that may do.
In reality that should translate to the general population which I believe it does! Anecdotally all I’m hearing in day to day life is constant complaints of sickness particularly respiratory with symptoms that seems to linger then repeat a short time later. This is backed by the media’s relentless reporting on pneumonia, influenza, RSV and of course the multiple daily reports of aggressive cancers a staple , with the UK ‘s Mirror the most prolific! Along with equally reported stories of “ Died Suddenly “
Brilliant work, Dr. Kirsch. Keep educating us and hopefully the public.
Very interesting. A bunch of thoughts:
You could alter the "NHS sickness reasons chart" as follows:
1) Define a composite of reasons that indicate covid. Or maybe also preserve just one or two covid-specific reasons on their own.
2) Plot the scaled "reason-proportions" curves of just the above, instead of the stacked bars of reason-proportions
3) Overlay the scaled absence count curve.
One would think that the the above-defined reason-proportions would go up in Sept 2019 and correlate with the absence spike in Sept 2019, which would corroborate covid existing well into 2019. But eyeballing it, it looks like the obvious reason-proportions don't in fact track with sickness in late 2019. Perhaps another approach would be to reverse-engineer the choice of composite reasons, by asking "which composite of reasons would have tracked with late 2019 absences". That could potentially define what covid actually is. This was a period where people were not told what they should expect themselves to be sick with, so it might be free of some bias.
Would be nice to see if either of the above-defined reason-proportion composites tracks with cumulative vaccination rates at any lag, positively or negatively, if at all. Hits at different lags might suggest vaccine side effects, vaccine efficacy, or both.
Does covid positivity track at one or more lags with vaccination? Vaccine efficacy, inefficacy, negative efficacy, and side effects which cause test-seeking behavior could all be considered here.
[Edit: This actually doesn't have anything to do with the NHS staff data, so off topic I guess. And I think I recall exactly where John Dee did this and found large negative efficacy signals].
Could you crunch the same scenario models for death (with a lag) instead of sickness? The above "reason-proportion" suggestions I suppose might apply to death as well, if there happened to be a spike in late 2019.
Also note that a positive test can reflect false positives, incidental positives, or bystander/weak-contributor positives. Test positivity may to a point be a proxy for general influenza-like illness (ILI) that prompted testing. Thus, COVID PCR positivity can ‘bake in’ some background ILI, resulting in inflated explanatory power (if one treats a positive test as being equivalent to a primary covid case). This makes your argument of covid not geing a great explanation stronger.
Hum, that's a lot of homework, but good ideas ; will get back on it as soon as I've a window & let you know.
Just a greedy wishlist. No pressure.
FYI. A friend just pointed out Klaus Schwab has admitted publicly, Masking was a test of compliance.
Want to know what 'compliance' KS is talking about?
Its the same 'compliance' Bonhoeffer experienced during WWII.
Check it out. Bonhoeffer called them 'stupid people' but today we label it 'collectivism'.
Its worth a deeper dive so we all know what we are dealing with.
Bonhoeffer's Theory on Stupid People
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ww47bR86wSc
We can't un.prove a non disputable fact. That is...corporations (esp.big Pharma) are adverse to telling the truth if it serves their purpose, to make money, obfuscate or even kill people. From real data, not only were these jabs not efficacious ("safe and effective" horse manure ) they actually were immensely harmful. But you have to ask HONEST people, not hacks about this. They wouldn't have gotten away with as much damage had the population been INFORMED. They choose not to be, so they are now suffering the consequences. How do you protect stupid people from themselves? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i-zg3lEIYiU. I have been trying to estimate the percent of stupid people/ aka took the jab. BTW no job would be worth my life in exchange.
Intelligence and instinct aren't correlated sadly, many very smart friends I had took the jab. It takes great bravery to inject yourself with something unknown you don't want because you have to feed your kids. I don't think we should have any hostile feeling toward those who did - voluntarily or not - and every hostile feeling to the people who were in charge to protect them and miserably failed every of their duties.
Amen!
The 'stupid people' remark is in context to my post on 'Bonhoeffer's Theory on Stupid People'. 'Stupid people' in this context refers to those that turn over their individual thinking to some group or authority.
The term anti-vaxxers...as if poisoning yourself and your children with toxic vaccines and mRNA poisons is a healthy thing to do. As if there was ANY certified proof that vaccines are safe and effective and do NOT cause massive harm. As if we are expected and it is demanded of us that we accept vaccination "just because" it exists and therefore we must NEVER question anything about it. Go to the devil, all you vaccine lovers. Do not think I will ever succumb to your poisons.
My comment just disappeared....
i was saying that many people had time off work because of their Covid shot - they were so poorly they took to bed for two or three days. Some still suffer symptoms like brain fog or struggling to find words that they never experienced before. This must have affected firstly the numbers of people needing NHS care - ie the waiting lists - and the number of people available to treat them. This happens every year with the flu vaccines, possibly to a lesser extend. My observation is that people have side effects but not as bad as the Covid jab side effects, but some people are also killed by their flu vaccine. Their relatives are fobbed off and end up saying they were told 'there is a link' or 'he was too weak for the vaccine' and they can't speak out for fear of being ostracised for being antivaxxers. The vaccine rarely makes it to the death certificate and so the merry-go-round continues of there only being 'a link' because the reality never makes it to the data tables. So these vaccines do contribute to the NHS waiting lists, sickness and ultimately the mortality rates, directly and also indirectly as care is slowed by them. If that was also taken into account with the modelling it would be even clearer what a bad idea they are......
thank you for doing the analysis, Steve.
Do you think you might branch out and look into the Shingles vaccine? For some reason, in the most recent clinical trial, they used the old vaccine as the control and looked at dementia rates. Strange choices on both counts... any way it turns out the new vaccine 'prevents' dementia.......